The futures of reef services in the Anthropocene
REEF-FUTURES
Call
- Biodiversity 2
Project Website
Principal Investigator
David Mouillot, University of Montpellier, France
Partners
John Kittinger, Arizona State University, United States Aaron MacNeil, Dalhousie University, Canada Valeriano Parravicini, Ecole Pratique des Hautes Etudes, France Loic Pellissier, ETH Zurich, Switzerland Edgar Graham, University of Tasmania, Australia Emily Darling, Wildlife Conservation Society, United States Laurent Vigliola, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, France Sonia Bejarano, Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research, Germany Steven Lade, Stockholm University, Sweden William Cheung, University of British Columbia, Canada Jerry Tjiputra, Uni Research, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Norway Camilo Mora, University of Hawaii, United States Pieter van Beukering, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands Josh Cinner, James Cook University, Australia Christina Hicks, Lancaster University, United Kingdom Deron Burkepile, University of California, Santa Barbara, United States
Funders
- ANR (The French National Research Agency), DFG (German Research Foundation), FNRS (National Fund for Scientific Research), NSERC (The Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada), NSF (National Science Foundation), NWO (The Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research), RCN (Research Council of Norway), SNSF (Swiss National Science Foundation)
Project Objective
The project aims to move beyond the typical over-simplified ‘human impacts’ storyline and focus on uncovering new solutions based on a prospective and integrated modelling approach of reef social-ecological systems at the global scale with three objectives: 1. Quantifying five key services provided by reef fishes: (i) biomass production providing livelihoods, (ii) nutrient cycling that affects productivity, (iii) regulation of the carbon cycle that affects CO2 concentration, (iv) cultural value that sustains well-being tourism activities and (v) nutritional value insuring food security. 2. Determine the conditions (socioeconomic and environmental) under which these ecosystem services are currently maintained or threatened. Based on a global database of fish surveys over more than 5,000 reefs that encompass wide gradients of environments, human influences (fishing impact), and habitats, we will estimate the boundaries or thresholds beyond which these ecosystem services may collapse. 3. Predict the potential futures of these services and social-ecological systems under various global change scenarios. Using multiple integrated scenarios (human demography, economic development and climate change) and predictive models we will simulate the dynamics of shallow reef ecosystems and their ability to deliver services during the next century,
Call Objective
The Call addresses two major (non-exclusive) priorities: - Development and application of scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services across spatial scales of relevance to multiple types of decisions; - Consideration of multiple dimensions of biodiversity and ecosystem services in biodiversity scenarios.
Region
Country
Duration
36 months
Call Date
October 2, 2017
Project Award Date
July 13, 2018